Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 12.738257 14.272256 15.933270 17.867930 20.062550 22.478312 25.343854
2025-05-11 10.406132 12.447696 14.820956 17.793413 21.430467 25.753047 31.305254
2025-05-18 8.681692 10.996635 13.861135 17.688635 22.702661 29.093536 37.929736
2025-05-25 7.352914 9.803550 13.011437 17.557929 23.900016 32.527558 45.314062
2025-06-01 6.341999 8.857621 12.323560 17.509270 25.177570 36.266444 53.821188
2025-06-08 5.552504 8.090023 11.753825 17.516902 26.515246 40.297694 63.530738
2025-06-15 5.056823 7.667086 11.606610 18.106352 28.799981 46.119617 77.171981
2025-06-22 4.487181 7.048235 11.069192 17.994119 29.940380 50.301929 88.947561
2025-06-29 3.952128 6.408855 10.406352 17.565475 30.465254 53.515641 99.656663
2025-07-06 3.540319 5.914927 9.910714 17.336422 31.282847 57.358958 112.317968
2025-07-13 3.317121 5.709515 9.872855 17.903862 33.635144 64.443475 132.923560
2025-07-20 3.122560 5.527878 9.849163 18.486539 36.102766 72.183661 156.656907
2025-07-27 2.896076 5.267786 9.661989 18.754343 38.046699 79.346581 181.167548
2025-08-03 2.623537 4.889448 9.205574 18.420376 38.689297 83.873816 200.724100
2025-08-10 2.390337 4.559360 8.801955 18.136779 39.397728 88.701506 222.330675
2025-08-17 2.188016 4.266750 8.437130 17.882578 40.132106 93.746727 245.900797
2025-08-24 2.020335 4.024988 8.146932 17.750080 41.130504 99.644513 273.478302
2025-08-31 1.878067 3.819761 7.908597 17.700246 42.322878 106.287495 305.146594
2025-09-07 1.798598 3.738476 7.927374 18.254933 45.134091 117.805543 355.090268
2025-09-14 1.673711 3.544653 7.673329 18.112979 46.112029 124.512803 391.863225
2025-09-21 1.539756 3.316589 7.315401 17.661758 46.182191 128.656723 421.424248
2025-09-28 1.432894 3.138709 7.053531 17.417948 46.785768 134.516230 458.915359
2025-10-05 1.384911 3.091665 7.096267 17.978648 49.798480 148.466336 530.941985